2026–2027
Last updated · preseason forecast, 20,000 simulated seasons
Projected points, playoff odds, championship odds, and relegation odds, averaged across 20,000 simulated replays of the 2026/2027 Liiga regular season. Projected PTS is each team's average regular-season points total across every simulated replay. Playoffs % is how often they finish in the top 12 and qualify for the postseason. Cup % is how often they go all the way and win the championship (the full regular season and playoff bracket, chained together and replayed as one). Relegation % is how often they finish last 3 and go down to the B League.
| # | Team | Projected PTS | Playoffs % | Cup % | Relegation % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tappara | 121.7 | 99.9% | 30.9% | <0.1% |
| 2 |  JYP | 118.4 | 99.8% | 16.3% | <0.1% |
| 3 |  Lukko | 111.2 | 98.6% | 9.1% | 0.2% |
| 4 |  KooKoo | 110.6 | 98.2% | 10.1% | 0.4% |
| 5 |  Ilves | 109.9 | 98.0% | 11.0% | 0.4% |
| 6 |  KalPa | 108.2 | 97.3% | 7.3% | 0.5% |
| 7 |  Kiekko-Espoo | 99.5 | 88.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| 8 |  Jokerit | 97.5 | 85.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% |
| 9 |  SaiPa | 95.7 | 81.8% | 1.4% | 5.6% |
| 10 |  Kärpät | 95.7 | 81.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% |
| 11 |  Ässät | 92.8 | 74.7% | 0.9% | 8.5% |
| 12 |  HIFK | 89.6 | 65.6% | 1.2% | 13.7% |
| 13 |  Pelicans | 85.5 | 51.2% | 0.5% | 22.3% |
| 14 |  TPS | 79.8 | 32.0% | <0.1% | 39.3% |
| 15 |  HPK | 79.8 | 32.0% | <0.1% | 39.4% |
| 16 |  Sport | 69.5 | 9.3% | <0.1% | 74.5% |
| 17 |  Jukurit | 66.4 | 5.4% | <0.1% | 82.4% |
Top 12 seeded from the simulated table. Seeds 5–12 open with a best-of-five 1st Round; seeds 1–4 bye to the best-of-seven Quarterfinals. Semifinals and the Final re-seed the survivors, best remaining vs. worst, the real Liiga format. Every game's winner is drawn from the two teams' power projections, the same number behind the regular-season standings; the whole bracket is replayed 20,000 times, and what's shown is the single most common path to champion.
Ilves3-2HIFKKalPa3-2ÄssätKiekko-Espoo3-2KärpätJokerit3-2SaiPaTappara4-1IlvesJYP4-3KalPaLukko4-3Kiekko-EspooKooKoo4-3JokeritTappara4-1KooKooJYP4-1Lukko
Tappara4-3JYPBronze medal game: Lukko over KooKoo (most likely outcome; both semifinal losers play a single neutral-site game)
